Advances and Applications in Statistics

The Advances and Applications in Statistics is an internationally recognized journal indexed in the Emerging Sources Citation Index (ESCI). It provides a platform for original research papers and survey articles in all areas of statistics, both computational and experimental in nature.

Submit Article

DETERMINANTS OF SMOKELESS TOBACCO PREVALENCE IN A DEVELOPING COUNTRY: A TRIVARIATE ORDERED PROBIT APPROACH

Authors

  • Aakrit Joshi
  • Niraj Khatiwada
  • Mohammad M. Rahman
  • Alok K. Bohara

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.17654/0972361724064

Abstract

A variant of bivariate models, such as the hurdle or double-hurdle method, is often utilized in extant studies to examine the consumption of addictive goods. The zero observations in such models are attributed to either (a) non-participation or (b) non-consumption upon participation. However, non-participation in addictive goods itself consists of two separate processes: The decision not to start addictive goods use and the decision to quit after starting addictive goods use. Kasteridis et al. [1] highlighted that integrating information from such separate decisions can lead to efficiency gains in statistical analyses and proposed a trivariate model. This paper explores the determinants of smokeless tobacco prevalence in a developing country using the trivariate ordered probit model proposed by Kasteridis et al. [1]. Using data from Nepal, the statistical findings highlight that involvement in other health risk behaviors is positively correlated with the decision to start, the decision not to quit, and the frequency of smokeless tobacco use in Nepal. The findings can provide insight into the effectiveness of policy tools that aim to reduce tobacco prevalence.

Received: May 13, 2024
Revised: June 6, 2024
Accepted: June 25, 2024

References

P. P. Kasteridis, M. K. Munkin and S. T. Yen, Demand for cigarettes: A mixed binary-ordered probit approach, Applied Economics 42(4) (2010), 413-426. doi: 10.1080/00036840701704402.

WHO, WHO Global Report on Trends in Prevalence of Tobacco use 2000-2025, World Health Organization, third ed., 2019.

U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, The Health Consequences of Using Smokeless Tobacco: A Report of the Advisory Committee to the Surgeon General, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD, 1986.

M. Goodchild, N. Nargis and E. T. d’Espaignet, Global economic cost of smoking-attributable diseases, Tobacco Control 27(1) (2018), 58-64. doi: 10.1136/tobaccocontrol-2016-053305.

D. N. Sinha, P. C. Gupta, A. Kumar, D. Bhartiya, N. Agarwal, S. Sharma, H. Singh, M. Parascandola and R. Mehrotra, The poorest of poor suffer the greatest burden from smokeless tobacco use: A study from 140 countries, Nicotine Tob. Res. 20(12) (2018), 1529-1532. doi: 10.1093/ntr/ntx276.

U.S. National Cancer Institute and World Health Organization, The Economics of Tobacco and Tobacco Control, U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, National Institutes of Health, National Cancer Institute; and Geneva, CH: World Health Organization, Bethesda, MD, National Cancer Institute Tobacco Control Monograph 21 NIH Publication No. 16-CA-8029A, 2016.

R. M. John, H.-Y. Sung and W. Max, Economic cost of tobacco use in India, 2004, Tobacco Control 18(2) (2009), 138-143. doi: 10.1136/tc.2008.027466.

E. Blecher, A. C. Liber, M. Chaussard and S. Fedewa, Market structures, socioeconomics, and tobacco usage patterns in madagascar, Nicotine and Tobacco Research 16(Suppl_1) (2014), S56-S64. doi: 10.1093/ntr/ntt020.

P. Magati, J. Drope, L. Mureithi and R. Lencucha, Socio-economic and demographic determinants of tobacco use in Kenya: Findings from the Kenya Demographic and Health Survey 2014, Pan. Afr. Med. J. 30 (2018), 166. doi: 10.11604/pamj.2018.30.166.14771.

P. C. Gupta and C. S. Ray, Smokeless tobacco and health in India and South Asia, Respirology, 8(4) (2003), 419-431.

doi: https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1440-1843.2003.00507.x.

K. Siddiqi, S. Husain, A. Vidyasagaran, A. Readshaw, M. P. Mishu and A. Sheikh, Global burden of disease due to smokeless tobacco consumption in adults: An updated analysis of data from 127 countries, BMC Med. (18), Art. no. 1, (2020). doi: 10.1186/s12916-020-01677-9.

D. N. Sinha, R. A. Suliankatchi, R. Amarchand and A. Krishnan, Prevalence and Sociodemographic Determinants of Any Tobacco Use and Dual Use in Six Countries of the WHO South-East Asia Region: Findings From the Demographic and Health Surveys, Nicotine Tob. Res. 18(5) (2016), 750-756. doi: 10.1093/ntr/ntv286.

I. T. Agaku, H. R. Alpert, C. I. Vardavas, A. O. Adisa and G. N. Connolly, Use of smokeless tobacco and cigarettes among Nigerian youths: Implications for tobacco control policies in Africa, Journal of Substance Use 19(1-2) (2014), 75-80. doi: 10.3109/14659891.2012.734542.

H. Bhattacharyya, S. Pala, G. K. Medhi, A. Sarkar and D. Roy, Tobacco: Consumption pattern and risk factors in selected areas of Shillong, Meghalaya, J. Family Med. Prim. Care 7(6) (2018), 1406-1410.

doi: 10.4103/jfmpc.jfmpc_140_18.

P. Padrão, C. Silva-Matos, A. Damasceno, and N. Lunet, Association between tobacco consumption and alcohol, vegetable and fruit intake across urban and rural areas in Mozambique, Journal of Epidemiology & Community Health 65(5) (2011), 445-453. doi: 10.1136/jech.2009.099440.

S. Subba, V. Binu, R. Menezes, J. Ninan and M. Rana, Tobacco chewing and associated factors among youth of western Nepal: A cross-sectional study, Indian J. Community Med. 36(2) (2011), 128-132. doi: 10.4103/0970-0218.84132.

S. L. Tomar, H. R. Alpert and G. N. Connolly, Patterns of dual use of cigarettes and smokeless tobacco among US males: Findings from national surveys, Tobacco Control 19(2) (2010), 104-109. doi: 10.1136/tc.2009.031070.

D. Aristei and L. Pieroni, A double-hurdle approach to modelling tobacco consumption in Italy, Applied Economics 40(19) (2008), 2463-2476. doi: 10.1080/00036840600970229.

F. J. Chaloupka and M. Grossman, Price, Tobacco Control Policies and Youth Smoking, National Bureau of Economic Research, 1996.

D. Kostova, H. Ross, E. Blecher and S. Markowitz, Is youth smoking responsive to cigarette prices? Evidence from low- and middle-income countries, Tobacco Control 20(6) (2011), 419-424. doi: 10.1136/tc.2010.038786.

D. Kostova and D. Dave, Smokeless tobacco use in India: Role of prices and advertising, Social Science & Medicine 138 (2015), 82-90.

doi: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2015.05.036.

D. E. Levy and E. Meara, The effect of the 1998 Master Settlement Agreement on prenatal smoking, Journal of Health Economics 25(2) (2006), 276-294.

doi: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2005.07.006.

W. G. Manning, L. Blumberg and L. H. Moulton, The demand for alcohol: The differential response to price, Journal of Health Economics 14(2) (1995), 123-148. doi: 10.1016/0167-6296(94)00042-3.

K. Paneru and N. Regmi, Bivariate probit model estimation of the effect of alcohol abuse on labor market outcomes, Advances and Applications in Statistics 71(1) (2021), 85-100. doi: 10.17654/AS071010085.

A. M. Jones, A double-hurdle model of cigarette consumption, Journal of Applied Econometrics 4(1) (1989), 23-39. doi: 10.1002/jae.3950040103.

K. N. Piorkowski, Understanding and Modifying Health Behaviors, UNM Digital Repository, 2018, [Online]. https://digitalrepository.unm.edu/econ_etds/94

J. Tauras, L. Powell, F. Chaloupka and H. Ross, The demand for smokeless tobacco among male high school students in the United States: The impact of taxes, prices and policies, Applied Economics 39(1) (2007), 31-41.

doi: 10.1080/00036840500427940.

D. Dave and H. Saffer, Demand for smokeless tobacco: Role of advertising, Journal of Health Economics 32(4) (2013), 682-697.

doi: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2013.03.007.

Y. Zheng, C. Zhen, D. Dench and J. M. Nonnemaker, U.S. Demand for Tobacco Products in a System Framework, Health Economics 26(8) (2017), 1067-1086. doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/hec.3384

R. L. Ohsfeldt, R. G. Boyle and E. Capilouto, Effects of tobacco excise taxes on the use of smokeless tobacco products in the USA, Health Economics 6(5) (1997), 525-531.

R. W. Ault, R. B. Ekelund Jr., J. D. Jackson and R. P. Saba, Smokeless tobacco, smoking cessation and harm reduction: An economic analysis, Applied Economics 36(1) (2004), 17-29. doi: 10.1080/0003684042000177161.

S. Adams, C. D. Cotti and D. M. Fuhrmann, Smokeless Tobacco Use Following Smoking Bans in Bars, Southern Economic Journal 80(1) (2013), 147-161.

doi: 10.4284/0038-4038-2011.222.

Published

09-08-2024

Issue

Section

Articles

How to Cite

DETERMINANTS OF SMOKELESS TOBACCO PREVALENCE IN A DEVELOPING COUNTRY: A TRIVARIATE ORDERED PROBIT APPROACH. (2024). Advances and Applications in Statistics , 91(10), 1217-1240. https://doi.org/10.17654/0972361724064