MODELING AGE SPECIFIC FERTILITY RATES OF PAKISTAN WITH HADWIGER FUNCTION MODEL
Keywords:
Hadwiger function, fertility pattern, modeling, age specific fertility rates.DOI:
https://doi.org/10.17654/0973514322025Abstract
The modeling of fertility curves has attracted the demographers for many years. Fertility modeling is main concerned for studying the reproductivity. The modeling of fertility curves by theoretical distribution has been used to describe reproductive patterns of women in childbearing age.
Various types of models have been proposed in literature to capture the fertility patterns. This paper presents the application of Hadwiger function (HWF) model on age specific fertility rates (ASFRs) in Pakistan. The mathematical HWF model describes the fertility curves with more traditional distributions. The important characteristic of this model is that it estimates three demographic parameters; namely, the total fertility, mean age and modal age of the mothers. The application of HWF model provides meaningful demographic interpretation of its parameters.
In this paper, we fit the HWF model on ASFR of Pakistan during the period 1985-2005. This paper briefly explains the application of HWF and to estimate and interpret the model parameters. The accuracy of fitted HWF model on fertility rates is also determined by root mean square error (RMSE).
Received: September 6, 2022
Accepted: November 5, 2022
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